A
alcanadakid
Member
In respect of crime figures in the UK and cases coming to court I tend to agree with the expression "lies, damn lies and statistics". Call me cynical but it is too easy for the government of the day (whichever party) to save money by "massaging" figures to achieve cost cutting and too easy for crime statistics to show what you want to show, i.e. "crime figures are falling, aren't we good". There was a study done fairly recently which alleged that some police forces were now not recording some crimes on their statistics which they had done in the past. Net result...........yes a drop in overall crime!!!
I totally agree with the comments concerning Eastern European nationals but with open borders, you send them home one day, they're back the next. As to offenders being or not being fined and released, reflect on very recent cases of offenders being on court bail and offending, even murdering. Unfortunately it happens and it shouldn't.
As a magistrate I am seeing lots of empty courts and cancelled sittings which justify the 34% figure. There is no doubt that with fewer resources the police and CPS are more choosey about the cases they bring to court and are achieving a 90% conviction rate. The perceived wisdom from those that really know is that there is an actual reduction in crime despite all the caveats.
Regarding bail, one of the three criteria for refusing bail is having substantial grounds to believe that the defendant will commit further offences. However, you do need justification for this. we can't just guess. Sometimes we get it wrong and it appears in the Press, but most times we don't and of course you never see that in the Press. If someone commits an offence on bail they are punished more heavily because of it.